Core Concepts

Prediction Markets

Prediction markets allow users to trade on future events. Each market represents a question with two or more possible outcomes (e.g., “Will Bitcoin reach $100k before 2026?”).

  • YES shares pay $1 if the event happens.

  • NO shares pay $1 if it doesn’t.

The price of each share (between $0 and $1) represents the probability the market collectively assigns to that outcome.

Why Solana?

Probity uses Solana for:

  • Near-zero gas fees

  • Lightning-fast confirmation

  • On-chain transparency

  • Seamless wallet integration (Phantom, Solflare, Backpack, etc.)

Terminology

Term
Description

Market

The event users can trade on

Outcome

Possible result (“YES” / “NO”)

Share

Token representing your position

Collateral

USDC or another stablecoin used for trading

Resolution

The process of confirming which outcome occurred

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